The ‘no-fly’ zone will fly over Ukraine

In recent times Press conference, The suggestion that British Prime Minister Boris Johnson face an application to establish a “no-fly zone” was quickly scrapped and rejected. By commenters And Media. However, there is an argument that in the face of widespread attacks on Ukraine by the Russian armed forces, NATO members should and more importantly, be creative about how they will be able to place air cover over Ukraine without triggering. World War III.

A no-fly zone was successfully created in Iraq from the spring of 1991 until a decade later, before the American-led invasion. In Bosnia, from 1993-1995, NATO grounded the once powerful Yugoslav Air Force. This was repeated in 2011 in Libya.

However, there are a number of issues with the no-fly zone – such as applicability, effectiveness and legitimacy.

No-fly zones, such as ground-based ‘safe zones’, must not only be declared, they must be made effective and secure. This, of course, does not always happen and in some cases leads to tragic consequences, including the Srebrenica genocide during the Bosnian war. To operate and protect a potential no-fly zone in Ukraine, NATO pilots would probably have to shoot down Russian aircraft or deploy Moscow’s mobile air-defense batteries to the ground, a move that could lead to an all-out war between Western allies. And the Russian Federation. This is something that everyone wants to avoid.

Historically, no-fly zones have not been particularly effective against either helicopters or drones. Need to be neutral before establishing a no-fly zone. Furthermore, no-fly zones also have no effect on long-range artillery deployments or cruise missiles. Worse, they do virtually nothing to stop what is happening on the ground. The no-fly zone will not work against the giant Russian convoy Trucks and armored vehicles stored outside Kiev. In fact, after the 1991 Gulf War, the skies over Iraq did nothing to stop Saddam Hussein from launching ground and helicopter attacks on Iraq’s Shiite population.

The validity of enforcing a no-fly zone is also not a previous conclusion. In both Libya and Bosnia, both were established under a UN Security Council resolution. As a permanent member of the Security Council, Russia will never agree to such a proposal.

There are various ways to get out of the downward spiral of Ukraine without starting World War III. Ian Cairns To reveal He took a no-fly zone that would prevent Russia from creating the worst humanitarian catastrophe in Europe since World War II. Kearns believes that the problem has little to do with NATO pilots shooting down Russian planes, but that NATO must shoot first. He suggested that the West should turn the tables on Moscow and come up with a solution that would force the Russian military to decide to shoot first.

During the Berlin Airlift in 1948, humanitarian flights over the Soviet-occupied territory of Germany were operated by Western allies at airports and airports in Berlin’s territories. The Soviet Union has decided not to shoot down American Air Force cargo planes to avoid the outbreak of World War III. Similar operations can be carried out to assist those in need in troubled Kiev.

A second, slightly more ambitious plan would be to use the Polish airbase for the Ukrainian Air Force. By making these bases temporarily Ukrainian territory, but surrounded by NATO, Vladimir Putin must make a conscious decision to attack the bases beyond Polish airspace.

Through unprovoked aggression in Ukraine, Russia has destroyed its efforts to build a reputation as an honest broker in the international community. Putin is much weaker now than he was a week ago. In the coming weeks and months, Russia’s economy will continue to collapse due to global sanctions imposed on the country, with the heroic resistance of Ukraine’s military and civilians, as well as the leadership of President Volodymyr Zelensky. Strengthens the international community. This would further destabilize Putin’s domestic position. The most important thing is to capture how deeply irresistible Putin seems to be without provoking global conflict.

Will the no-fly zones be part of Putin’s efforts to deploy to Ukraine’s long and bloody watershed? This is a question that remains unanswered.

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